UFC Fight Night 52: Hunt vs. Nelson analysis
On Saturday, September 20, 2014, at 3 a.m. E.T. in Saitama, Japan, Mark â€œThe SuperÂ Somoanâ€ Hunt takes on Roy â€œBig Countryâ€ Nelson in a 5-round heavyweight mixedÂ martial arts contest. This is a big fight between two big guys, and it should be aÂ good one. Although Mark Hunt is the favorite, UFC Fight Night 52 looks to offer aÂ very good and close fight. This should be an action-filed bout between two of theÂ toughest MMA fighters in the UFC.
In the UFC, Hunt (9-8-1) had a rash of losses before he was able to notch someÂ victories. He can get into a losing streak funk. His last fight against Antonio SilvaÂ ended in a draw, and before that he suffered a knockout loss to Junior dos Santos.
He has not fought since UFC 33. Hunt will try to batter and bruise his way to victory,Â while staying out of the grasp of the savvy veteran Nelson. He will take a beating andÂ ably battle his way back, which means this fight could go the full five rounds.
Nelson (21-9-0), who had lost two in a row before his most recent fight, last mixed itÂ up in UFC 39, where he scored an amazing walk-off knockout over Antonio RodrigoÂ Nogueira. Big Country may not look like an athlete, but the fact is heâ€™s strong, tough,Â resilient, skilled, and crafty. But heâ€™ll have to mix it up to win this one. Hunt will beÂ readily absorb that great punch that Nelson throws, and The Super Samoan shouldÂ rebound against and attack with a solid counterattack.
You can say itâ€™s about who wants it more, or it may be about who appears to wantÂ it less. These two guys both have â€œI donâ€™t care attitudesâ€ that they use to theirÂ advantage. Thereâ€™s no fear about losing, at least on the surface, and Hunt and NelsonÂ are both extra large packages who can give and take it.Â Nelson has a devastating right hand, but Hunt has a chin that can stand up to severeÂ punishment. The Super Somoan, who has had his share of ups and downs, can winÂ this one, as he can match Nelson punch for punch and take a beating. When it comesÂ to grappling, youâ€™ve got to love Nelson, who certainly has the skills and techniqueÂ to score a victory with a takedown. Hunt can easily find himself down and out if heÂ grapples with Nelson.
When it comes to a KO or TKO, both fighters have seen 67% of their fights endÂ in that manner. Hunt has not won a fight by a submission, while Nelson has beenÂ victorious in 19% of his bouts via the sub. On the other side, that is decision, theÂ big edge goes to Hunt 33% to 14%. If this goes the full five rounds, then The SuperÂ Somoan has the edge.
Whoever wins this one will see their UFC stock rise, while the loser will need toÂ recover quickly and fight again to validate their stature as a worthy fight cardÂ candidate. Both are fan favorites.